-
- Interest Rate3.75
- Inflation Rate MoM0.5
- Inflation Expectations3.5
- Retail Sales MoM0.5
- GDP Growth Rate1.6
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI55.1
- Services PMI 50.7
- Unemployment Rate4.3
-
- 0Interest Rate
- 0.2Inflation Rate MoM
- 0.69Inflation Expectations
- 0.1Retail Sales MoM
- 0.4GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 57.3Manufacturing PMI
- 56Services PMI
- 3Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Long at major support areas.
✅
Fundamental Bias is Bullish
✅
Forecast is Bullish
✅
Trend is Buy
Dynamic supports at S3 (0.79189) and S4 (0.79189) could be apropos entries
- 2026-06-11 07:04 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
Over Bought
Sell
Sell
Buy
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot: 0.79884
S1: 0.79748
S2: 0.79517
S3: 0.79381
R1: 0.80115
R2: 0.80251
R3: 0.80482
USDCHF, Retail traders Sentiment
USDCHF, Retails Liquidity history
>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous 850
Current 3,758
Changes +2908 342%>Swiss Franc
Net Positions:
Previous -36,937
Current -32,909
Changes +4028 11%
Licensed User access
Base: USD
Interest rate: 3.75%
U.S. 10Y Bonds: 4.543 , chg: 0.002 (0.040%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Strong
Fundamental Score: 11
COT POS: USD: 3758 pos, last change: 342% (2908 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 22%
Retail trader Sell position: 0
Retail trader Sell volume: 0 lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (0.80526): 0.00641
Quote: CHF
Bonds, Switzerland 10Y: 0.448 , chg: 0.012 (2.750%)
Fundamental Bias: Bearish Strong
Fundamental Score: 8
COT POS: CHF: -32909 pos, last change: 11% (4028 contracts)
Retail Long pos ratio: 78%
Retail trader Long position: 0
Retail trader Buy volume: 0 lot
Distance to Support S4 (0.79189): 0.00696
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bullish Strong
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)
Bearish Strong
Swiss National Bank (SNB) rate: 0%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate3.75
- CPI y/y4.2
- Inflation Rate MoM0.5
- Producer Prices Change6
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0.2
- Consumer Price Index CPI335
- Inflation Expectations3.5
- Retail Sales MoM0.5
- Core Producer Prices MoM1
- GDP Growth Rate1.6
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI55.1
- Services PMI 50.7
- Non Manufacturing PMI54.5
- Unemployment Rate4.3
- Employment Rate59.2
- Initial Jobless Claims225
- Non Farm Payrolls172
- Average Hourly Earnings0.3
- ADP Employment Change122
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence44.8
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE3
-
- 0Interest Rate
- 0.6CPI y/y
- 0.2Inflation Rate MoM
- 0Producer Prices Change
- Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 101Consumer Price Index CPI
- 0.69Inflation Expectations
- 0.1Retail Sales MoM
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- 0.4GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 57.3Manufacturing PMI
- 56Services PMI
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- 3Unemployment Rate
- 80Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- 5537Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 3222Balance of Trade
- 0Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 3TOTAL SCORE
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) is the official currency of Switzerland and is considered one of the safest currencies in the world. Due to Switzerland’s political stability, strong banking system, and solid economic foundation, the CHF is viewed as a safe-haven currency, often strengthening during periods of geopolitical instability or financial crisis. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is responsible for setting the country’s monetary policy. The price of the CHF is influenced by factors such as interest rates, inflation, and the country's trade balance. Additionally, the Franc tends to correlate with global risk sentiment, appreciating when investors seek safety in times of market turbulence. The CHF also sees price movements in relation to the Euro, given Switzerland's proximity to the Eurozone.
USDCHF Analysis
Introduction
The USD/CHF is another safe-haven pair, with the Swiss Franc often seen as a hedge during periods of market instability. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) plays a significant role in managing its currency’s strength. Geopolitical uncertainty, especially in Europe, often results in a stronger CHF. The pair is impacted by US economic data (interest rates, inflation) and Swiss economic stability. The USD/CHF is also correlated with gold prices, as Switzerland is a major gold trading hub.
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve policy is Dovish with the (FED) current Interest rate 3.75%. Latest change was Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Swiss National Bank policy is Dovish and (SNB) has set its interest rate to 0% by latest change, Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp).
(FED) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in USD. This tends to attract foreign capital into USD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of USD is Strong Bullish and for the CHF is Strong Bearish.
Ziwox considering Strong Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
mid-term Fundamental Score for USD is 11. and Fundamental Score for CHF is 8. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "Tokyo & London", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The Gold and Australian dollar recorded the strongest performance, while the Canadian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 1.25% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.03% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.09% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.13%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.08%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -0.03% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.1% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.08%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
USD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >U.S. Dollar Index is 3758 included 24584 long, 20826 short and 2908 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought USD for higher prices in long-term.
Last week 2908 repositioning Indicates that they are optimistic about higher prices in mid-term.
CHF COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >Swiss Franc is -32909 included 6245 long, 39154 short and 4028 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold CHF for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 4028 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.
Retail Traders:
Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the USDCHF with 78% 22% ratio. 0 long pos and 0 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability USDCHF prices may decrease.
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
The USDCHF pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 0.79189.
Technical trend is BUY, If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a good area to enter a long positions.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 0.80526. Technically, A break above this resistance could signal a shift in momentum, but need to get a confirmation in this area due to the reversal or correction potential.
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